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I'm seriously convinced that Skupin stands no chance. He is not at the end of Survivor: Phillippines. If he was he would be getting confessionals and be visible. The only thing he did this episode was feed people or test the water in the soup. That is a good indication that he doesn't do well. On Tandang its been the RC/Abi/Lisa/Pete show. They're the only ones that matter on that tribe. On Kalabaw, they focused major on the gender split, with the three girls against the three guys, and from the next week's preview it looks like someone from Kalabaw potentially gets taken out of the game, so if its a girl, then the guys dominate that tribe and vice versa if its a guy. Now that Russell is gone the only returnee that stands a chance is Penner. He has an idol, finally have people aligning with him and this episode the focus was on that Jeff Kent/Penner/Carter newfound alliance so that has to mean something. So we can eliminate Skupin's chances, I think they mixed up Penner with Skupin and it seems as  though after episode 4 that might be the case. Penner is heavily featured, not over the top and they portray him as someone we should root for til the end.