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12/12/08 07:12 PM
12/12/08 09:20 PM
My two cents: Sugar is an emotional player and I don't think she's "sweet" at all. Really didn't like how she got rid of Randy (not
that I'm a Randy lover by any means). So I think that even though she *should* stick with her alliance of four, she may not.
Kenny had better win the next six immunities. ;-)
Matty - I really, really, really do not want him to win. He had no strategy of any kind and even though I myself noted that he has won some challenges (all
group ones) he's far from the "physical threat" he should be.
Bob is a god. They should boot his butt because he's a shoe in to win this.
Susie- I think she's made the strategic moves she needed to in order to save herself, she won a challenge and she's a hard worker. But she just
hasn't gotten any kind of winner's edit unless they're making her Danni II. (And Danni had more of an edit that Susie has)
This is so far from the F5 I envisioned, let alone the F4 that I am just flabbergasted. I don't hate any of the remaining players (but deeply
disappointed in Ken who has proven not to be the strategist I thought he was, and kinda mean to boot) but not in love with any but Bob, and that simply
because he's a really interesting guy. Gameplay? Not so much.
Finally, am I the only one who is not at all in sympathy with that disgusting jury of four? What a bunch of hypocrites. They would have dumped Bob like a
shot if they'd been in control at this point, they despise Sugar but were happy when she turned on Crystal. I can't wait to see how Crystal fares at
Ponderosa. She's not my favorite person, but I'd wouldn't wish for my worst enemy to go into that high school cool kids (plus Randy) cesspool.
ETA: Now that I've seen the Ponderosa video, take that last sentence times 10. The Onions plus Randy are truly awful, awful people. And Chalie admits
that he's acting like a two year old!
12/12/08 09:40 PM
Susie (votes Crystal): Told you it was going to be alphabetically, you had the C, so...
12/12/08 11:45 PM
So, in the end, I suspect what we are looking at is a million dollar endurance immunity challenge between Bob
and Matty. Last man standing gets the million.
CRYSTAL: I so did not see that coming, and neither did she.
KENNY: Fumbled spectacularly, and he will get voted out next on principle.
Not that sad… he kind of went BB3 Danielle on us there in the end, drunk on his own power, making idiotic moves, and acting like an egomaniacal moron
in general. If he won all of the remaining challenges AND was able to take Sugar and Susie with him, he'd probably
be able to scrape together a win based on the Onion asshats.
SUGAR: If we thought Lill was a jury's punching bag a few years ago… this will just be sad. She will make
the final three. The jury will make her cry. And probably between four and six
jurors are just going to take all of their aggressions out on her. A shame, because I think she actually did play an
exceptional game, but she was terrible at jury-building. However, I feel that she has made her decision, that she wants
"good people" in the final, and since Sugar's chances of winning were virtually nil to begin with, she might as well choose who she wants to lose
to, just as Kim Johnson and Lill did before her.
BOB: He needs to win out the remaining challenges (or get everyone so wrapped up in wanting to vote off Kenny
that they ignore the fact that he's a huge threat) and plan a reasonable explanation for Randy, hoping Corinne has already done damage control for him in
that regard, and he'll have 4/7 votes for sure, and, honestly, Kenny and Crystal might not be petty enough to cast a completely random vote for Susie to
spite him, so if he makes the final and is smart enough to know to not include Matty, he'll win. Even if he does
include Matty, he'll still win although not in a landslide.
MATTY: All he needs is for Bob to not win the final immunity, and he's golden. Nobody has anything against him; they may not have a compelling reason to vote FOR him, but that's okay. He'd win in much the same way Danni beat Stephenie in Guatemala, by simply being the one the jury didn't hate. If for some bizarre reason he has to face Bob, he's probably not going to win, although he's the only one with a chance at
all of making it a close vote. If he does make the final against Sugar and Susie, he'd be guaranteed the
Randy-Corinne-Marcus-Charlie votes, I would have to imagine. Bob probably would vote for him over Sugar, and would
never vote Susie. As for Crystal and Kenny, I'm not sure who they would prefer.
SUSIE: Will almost certainly make the final. Will almost certainly be
irrelevant to said final vote. Sugar will take all the hatred from the jury, although some will inevitably spill over
onto Susie, but the fact remains that Susie has mostly been along for the ride, and her above-average work ethic and the fact that she appears to have sucked
less at the challenges than most of the other women isn't likely to be a big vote-getter for her. The jury will
pretty much agree that they hate her less than Sugar, but that she doesn't deserve to win nearly as much as whichever of Bob or Matty makes the
final. Could potentially get a vote for a completely random or bizarre reason… hell, if Katie and Lill could get a vote
apiece, and Kim Johnson got two, Susie can probably sway somebody, although I can't imagine who or why. Her chances
would be maximized with Sugar and Kenny as her opponents in the final, but somehow I don't see her being able to finagle that outcome. Susie is the kind
of player who gets votes because you want to vote against her opponent rather than for anything she actually did herself.
F5 boot: Kenny
F4 boot: Matty, after a Bob immunity win.
BOB: Marcus, Marcus's little lapdog Charlie, Randy and Corinne who
will act like utter assholes and make us feel embarrassed for them even though they achieved their goals of making Sugar cry and shaming Susie. Kenny probably votes for Bob on the grounds of being outwitted by him. Crystal probably
will vote for Bob as well.
SUGAR: With luck, she'll get a vote from Matty based more on pity than anything else. Beyond that, it's looking pretty doubtful that anyone
SUSIE: Zip, unless Matty pities her more than Sugar, or Kenny or Crystal is mad enough at Bob to vote in a
completely bizarre and random way for Susie as being inoffensive.
12/13/08 01:14 AM
12/13/08 03:05 AM
12/13/08 06:18 AM
12/13/08 10:17 AM
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12/13/08 07:15 PM
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