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I would not assume Cirie sides with the shomances over the "masterminds". I would wish she did side with the "masterminds".

However, in Cook Islands we had 20 people and a major realignment on week 3. For all we know, the tribes are mixed up by then, the earliest possible "favorite" boot, since the spoilers all agree Mary goes next week.

Also, how does this new Exile things work? Does the Exile miss the boot that episode and are therefore "safe"? Say one of the masterminds goes to Exile Island and that leaves 4-3 on the favorites tribe with her creating a tie. Do we know that firestarting is back as a the tiebreaker?

There is an awful lot we don't know.

Cherie's strategy in Panama was to be taken to the final 2 as the "goat", rather than being the one doing the taking. If they all are told it is a final 3 again, then teaming up with a showmance pair for a final 3 spot where she can be the goat may look attractive.

Or, she could just be boneheaded and go with the wrong group. Certainly ASS was filled with once-great players who made unbelievably bad decisions all the way through the game, least of all not splitting Romber while they had the chance. We cannot assume that the great gamers before playing equally well now. Or, maybe they will.

I'm willing to wait to see what happens before I cast any judgements on Cirie. If she had learned to start a fire better, she may very well have won S12.

Unfortunately, aligning with the returnees I want to see do well may not be in her best interests, especially if she gets a final 3 offer. And that may not matter at all if the tribes are mixed up on week 3.