Anyway, there's only 3 people I'm really looking at tbh. Here are the LOSERS:
Andrea - Barely a contestant on this show, other than being good pussy grabbing material. I'm pretty sure Rob is going to be the "former survivor" and she will quit the game to regain her position as one of his concubines.
Aubry - Probably doesn't have much longer in her imo.
Michaela - In a season that is going to be dominated by doing things differently than you did in your prior season, all we know is that she still has an attitude, and people still think she's a threat. She's not the winner.
Cirie - She will triumph over Ozzy, but that's about it. Blacks are not as hard-working as Mexicans, but they are often sneakier. I think she will make it to the mid-jury level.
Ozzy - Not winning. I'd go back to making gay pornos Oscar, stick to what you're good at.
Zeke - Barely a contestant on this show, can't even remember the last time he's had a confessional.
Sierra - She is important because of her connection with Brad. Her importance is basically to give him the legacy advantage when she is voted out which will be her "contribution" to the game. I think the only thing she has going for her is she is on the "most important" tribe imo.
Varner - He's obscenely fat and annoying, and he also has no chance of winning. He has a 100% chance of getting more confessionals than he deserves.
Debbie - She'll be lucky to last another episode.
Troyzan - He probably has a good shot of making it to the end game, but I don't see him winning. He was pretty prominent in the premiere (good) and we also saw a alliance building scene with him and Sarah (good) BUT it was mostly from Sarah's perspective (not good!)
Sandra - I'm nervous about writing her off, but it seems obvious that she is being set up as the big bad guy to be slain. She is constantly being portrayed as being in a great position and running the show, besides (game logic wise) her old Red tribe clearly heading into approaching merge situation with a clear #s disadvantage, and (editorally) people constantly describing her as a huge threat, seemingly without her attention. Also if a former winner had won, I do not think a theme of this season would have been "what would you have done differently?"
The three people I'm still looking at are Culpepper, Hali, and Sarah. I'm about 95% sure Culpepper is winning. He is basically getting the Tyson treatment from BvW, he was a somewhat amusing jackass in his last season but now that he managed to pull a win off somehow, the editors are working overtime to make him look like a level headed person who definitely wouldn't try to do something like claim disability to scumbag millions of dollars out of people. If there's one thing you know about Donald Trump it is that I hate frivolous lawsuits. In seriousness though, there aren't a lot of flaws in his edit, we're constantly getting his perspective on the game, he's getting positive spv from other people (at least other normal people, not Debbie), the edit backed him up in his tiff with Debbie, we saw his alliance creation scene with Sierra in the first episode, as well as him talking about what he wants to do differently compared to last season.
Sarah would be my second pick. I'm not that impressed tbh, but I still have her hanging on because she does satisfy a lot of conditions. We've seen her alliances being created, we've heard her perspective on the game before, we've also heard her desire to play a more proactive game than last time. Still, there's not a lot of substance in her edit so far, not nearly as much craft as being put into Brad's edit, but still someone to look out for if this is actually a "how Brad loses season."
Don't want to comment on Hali right now. Waiting for my lawyers to confirm that 12-year olds are in fact allowed to play this game.