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From SB

Note that JT is very gung-ho right off the bat in this challenge while Erinn is rather lackadaisal. JT looks like a heavy favourite to win this challenge as it's quite physical and there's a lot of running, so it would seem that the only question is whether he gets locked up long enough on the puzzle portion at the end to prevent him from winning immunity. I'll go with JT as the winner of this challenge.

The F4 boot? With the "shock vote" term being tossed out, I'm leaning towards Taj as the boot. Stephen might be a real seismic shock vote, but I'm more apt to believe that Stephen and JT are the final two with the potential for long time alliance partners turning on each other as we've been hammered over and over with the storyline of JT/Stephen bonding together and planning the game. JT/Erinn, Erinn/Taj or JT/Taj wouldn't have the same kind of hype, in my opinion.

Jeff is also promising a "betrayal" of some sort in the finale. Having JT/Stephen go on and boot Taj instead of Erinn would count as a betrayal, I'd say.

Finally, are we going see a build-the-fire tiebreaker? We've been repeatedly shown Stephen successfully starting a fire so does this translate into a F4 tiebreaker fire-off between him and Taj?

Next, we don't have any scenes of the F3 challenge. Historically, it's been an endurance or balancing sort of challenge so we'll go with that. JT has usually done well in endurance type of challenges so far this season, so we'll go with him as the winner - especially if you tie it in with what Sylvester mentioned earlier about the idea that JT says the title quote to Stephen while negotiating a deal after Erinn throws in the towel.

With all the circumstantial evidence so far gathered heavily in favour of a Stephen-JT final two, Erinn is the obvious boot choice here in third place.