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gervasemyman wrote:

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BortBort wrote:

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gervasemyman wrote:

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parvatiftw wrote:

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First of all can I just say that Sierra outlasting Tyson = Amazing? amirite? :D

but anyways, I do think that Sierra has SOMETHING to do with Tyson's ousting. She planted the seeds in Erinn and Stephen's head, she was making everyone realize that getting rid of her over Tyson is completely idiotic. Yes, she was surprised. But I do think she subconciously got rid of Tyson. :]

You are pulling at straws dude, but whatever helps you sleep at night.



And Sierra is NOT a swing vote. You people need to grasp that fact asap. Erinn is not going flip twice if she is as smart and amazing as everyone seems to think she is. That is just dumb. She's already pissed off Timbira, no point in pissing off Jalapao as well. The only way Sierra will be a swing vote is if Erinn goes back to Coach and Debbie and I just cannot see that happening. Of course this is supposed to be omgbestseasonevaahhhhhsomanyblindsides!!!1!!! so I'm prepared for all that to be thrown back in my face.

And the thing is, if Erinn does stick with Jalapao, Sierra probably won't even have the option of joining that alliance. JT, Stephen and Erinn seem to hate her so much that they can't even stand to bring her along as a big huge goat. They didn't even tell her about the Tyson vote, why would they suddenly want her now? She'll have no choice but to align with Coach and Debbie, luckily it won't do them any good.

The thing is if Erinn doesn't flip at some stage she is fucked. At the moment she is sitting at the bottom of the totem pole in an alliance of 4. I do not think the Jalapao three will turn against each other so she needs to break them up. It's in her best interests to turn on them to give herself a better chance of getting to the final 2, at which stage she can use the "i played a strategic game" card. Or take Sierra to the end and have a guaranteed win.

Yeah, maybe. But I don't necessarily think that she'd be in a higher position if she was to align with Timbira again. Coach and Debbie can't trust her now, whereas Coach is under the impression he could trust Sierra if he bought her back in. Plus Coach wants to fuck Sierra. And if Debbie is smart she'll realise that bringing Sierra to the final 3 is a better move for two reasons: she's less of a challenge threat than Erinn and her chances at F2 are so so much higher against both Coach and Sierra than against Erinn. So, if Erinn does flip back to Timbira, I still think Erinn would be fourth in their totem pole.

I think Erinn's ideal game plan from now on would be to stick with Jalapao to vote off Debbie next (she's more of a strategy threat than Coach). She should then approach Taj and push the fact that Stephen and JT are close as fuck and would never choose her over each other, and the likelihood is that JT would win the last IC challenge so she will not make final 2. If she can get Taj to realise all that and realise that her only real option is to turn on JT and Stephen at F5 (which would be pretty easy I think) she can then approach Sierra and be like "look, you're next out, but if you align with me and Taj then we'll give you Taj's immunity idol to save you and get Coach out". So Coach is out next and then F5 is Stephen, JT, Erinn, Taj and Sierra. All those girls will realise they don't have a chance of beating either of the guys in either final immunity challenge or final tribal council so they'll pick them both off ending up with Taj, Erinn and Sierra as F3. Taj or Erinn will win immunity and take Sierra to F2, who both of them will easily beat. (I think Taj will still be able to win Stephen and JTs vote on the jury even if she does fuck them over because both of them strike me as people who respect good strategy).