New Poll
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 srvivrfreakevelrich |
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Posts: 614 (03/28/09 9:40 AM) Admin |
so that means that its either Joe, Sydney, Brendan or Debbie going home this week.
His arms also look to be a bit smaller too, but if its that late after the game, and especially after hes been possibly voted off, weight shouldnt be much of a factor |
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AlwaysAwesomeAdam |
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Posts: 1937 (03/28/09 10:28 AM) |
IF that photo was 8 days later it doesn't disprove he was voted out on jury or not. He had 8 days after the show ended to shave and didn't. Which might
reflect him not shaving on the jury ala Coach.
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GrenadeJumper85 |
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Posts: 9212 (03/28/09 11:33 AM) |
Stephen getting voted out is probably one of the most illogical things someone has posted in this thread. There's no way JT or Taj would let that happen.
I'm thinking Joe or Sydney are done this week. |
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TexasDurango7 |
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Posts: 1821 (03/28/09 11:38 AM) Registered user |
It has to be Joe. First, why would they vote Sydney out right before the merge? Stephen and Taj are smarter than that. Second, why would Joe be pretty
invisible until recently and then getting his own segment on the recap if he doesn't get voted out next.
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Jedijake |
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Posts: 5573 (03/28/09 11:43 AM) MESS member |
Voting out Sydney before the merge makes Joe the obvious target AT the merge.
If Joe is booted just prior to the merge, Sydney won't be targeted right away. JT, Taj, and Stephen will be targeted at least by Coach, Tyson, and Deb. Sydney would be spared. She could flirt her way past a boot for a while (especially with horndogs Tyson and Coach). It's actually wiser to keep Joe around as the sacrificial lamb when they merge. |
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crzypunk2004 |
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Posts: 4267 (03/28/09 11:49 AM) Registered User |
Sydney could go at around F7 or so, I don't think she'll last as long as people think. Taj and Stephen may be stronger and better targets but they have
people from the opposite tribe protecting them.
I'm also starting to think, with Taj/JT being seen in what is rumored to be the F4 challenge that the JT/Taj/Stephen 3some are the cause for most of the blindsides this season and not the exile alliance. The Exile alliance blindsides Tyson and Coach then Stephen/Taj/JT blindside Brendan and Sierra. Leaving a F4 of Stephen, Taj, JT and one of Sierra/Debbie/Erinn filling the last spot. |
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naama291 |
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Posts: 2 (03/28/09 12:23 PM) |
nice catch.
there are some shots of Sierra, Coach and Tyson too.. |
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 birdlady |
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Posts: 2369 (03/28/09 1:24 PM) Registered user |
Voting out Sydney before the merge makes Joe the obvious target AT the merge.I agree, right up until the part about "wiser to keep Joe". I think all of the things you cite make it wiser for Pagong, er, Jalapao to keep Sydney: - They've got to figure they're most likely merging next round. They will be down 4-6 no matter who they boot. - We haven't gotten any hint that any of Jalapao are looking to jump ship to Timbira. (The CTA is looking to be separate from both original tribes.) From the recrap, we get the sense that they (definitely JT, Joe, and Sydney. Taj and Stephen if it suits for a round or two.) are looking to stick together, and pull in one of the Timbira, possibly Erinn. Post-merge, Joe should be more of an individual immunity threat than Sydney. (Not much of one, but more than Sydney.) Joe seems nice enough, but doesn't quite have Sydney's social assets. So, Jalapao (all non-CTA, CTA if it suits) can boot him now, go into the merge 4-6, hope JT gets immunity and Sydney skates by somehow, and they get to 4-5. They flip one Timbira, and they have a majority. Or, they can boot Sydney now, go into the merge 4-6, lose either JT or Joe (whichever doesn't have immunity), and be down 3-6. They've got an uphill battle either way. Joe is a goner either way. But everyone else on the tribe has slightly better odds if he goes now. |
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MidnightPrince69 |
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Posts: 22927 (03/28/09 1:41 PM) MadStudNYC |
Erinn was talking about how she would ditch her tribe at the merge. She's on the jury and will def be responsible in lending a hand to Cunch and
Brenden's boots.
Debbie is going to fly her way into the final 6 is the very least. Basically, both of these girls are in a good position at the mo, IMO. Erinn was in danger, but Timbira kept winning. And cunch was actually (from the editing) thinking about targeting Brenden because potential of his exile allies. On that note, I will celebrate when Cunch gets the boot. He is HORRIFIC. Also agree that keeping Joe until the until the merge is a better idea, but TAJ doesn't trust him at all. If Jap goes to TC, buh bye JOE! |
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MidnightPrince69 |
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Posts: 22928 (03/28/09 1:46 PM) MadStudNYC |
Keeping Syd is also a wise move, post-merge.
Either way, it's a win-win, depending on your perspective. |
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tullfan2 |
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Posts: 3235 (03/28/09 3:41 PM) Registered User |
You guys are over thinking it. Sydney was at risk the last 2 times that Jalapao went to Tribal Council. The first time it was between her and Sandy. The
second time it was between her and Spencer (as he indicated in his exit interviews) but they didn't show it in the episode because Spencer voted for Taj
instead of her. Spencer talked about things in his exit interview that only Sydney would know about (eg. Stephen tried to turn Sydney against Spencer by
trying to convince her that Spencer was untrustworthy). I'm fairly certain that Sydney did not make the jury. It is foolish to boot someone for being a
physical threat (eg. Lex in All Stars) when you can't be certain the merger is forthcoming.
Probst said that there are more twists coming up this season. Perhaps there will be a delayed merger this season. I'm leaning more toward speculating for a Thailand scenario rather than Gabon or All Stars. There is photographic evidence for everyone making the merger except for Brendan, Joe and Debbie. There is a longevity spoiler for Debbie. Maybe the merger doesn't happen till Final 8 with Jalapao booting Joe and Timbira voting out Brendan before the merger and that is why there are no buff-o-matic shots for Joe and Brendan. Two episodes ago they showed Tyson/Coach/Debbie becoming suspicious of Brendan, plotting against him and Coach's confessional stating that he can't let Brendan make the merger. There would not be much point to showing that unless Timbira did vote out Brendan before the merger. |
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MidnightPrince69 |
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Posts: 22934 (03/28/09 4:21 PM) MadStudNYC |
^^^^Well-written, insightful. A Plus
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birdlady |
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Posts: 2371 (03/28/09 5:03 PM) Registered user |
It is foolish to boot someone for being a physical threat (eg. Lex in All Stars) when you can't be certain the merger is forthcomingIt is foolish to decline to take the other tribe's supplies when you can't be certain a switch is forthcoming. Yet we know that's the way JT thinks. (As it stands right now, we sure didn't need to see 10 minutes of that. Nothing terribly interesting happened while they were at the other camp, and nothing has happened as a result.) |
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Heliox |
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Posts: 2022 (03/28/09 5:38 PM) |
Interesting that we see pics of both Stephen and Coach with beards after they returned from Brazil. I wonder why they both kept their rather scraggly beards
sometime after Brazil. Are they all asked to keep their beards again this season, as they did in early seasons?
So this is the family visit picture then. Buff-o matic had me fooled. That level of excitement is just too big for anything other than seeing a loved one. 
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srvivrfreakevelrich |
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Posts: 624 (03/28/09 5:40 PM) Admin |
Heliox wrote: are you certain its the loved one, or did you just asume? I thought it was either that or maybe an auctiion |
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SJHalle |
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Posts: 58 (03/28/09 5:42 PM) |
I agree with Tullfan 100% in regards to Sydney.
Adam, I fail to see how I'm fanatical when Sydney's been speculated to be pre-jury for the entire season by the spoiler sites like TDT and Survivor Fever. I guess they're crazy too huh? I've based my predictions that she would leave in some of the earlier episodes on the fact that she more than likely isn't a juror, not out of some crazy Sydney hate. A lot of the other pre-juror's comments in exit interviews back this theory up. Sandy's comment that "her flirting might get her a little farther but not much farther." Spencer knowing what Stephen told Sydney to turn her against him. I just don't see the legit evidence that suggest otherwise. "Joe is more of an individual challenge threat than Sydney," would be fine if there wasn't concrete counter evidence to suggest Sydney doesn't make it far. |
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MMan9000 |
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Posts: 374 (03/28/09 6:19 PM) |
Maybe I'm over thinking things, but Carolina and Sydney could become friends after the game is over. They do both live close to each other, so maybe they
met that way...
Perhaps Jalapao decides to keep Sydney over Joe if they go to TC. They would assume that the merge would be in three days, and thus, they would rather keep Sydney, who wouldn't be a challenge threat, over Joe who would be one (despite his hurt leg/knee). Yet, the hurt leg/knee is a good reason to keep Joe. He'll draw the attention of the Timbira tribe...at least for three days, allowing Taj, JT, and Steven to think of some sort of plan to pull themselves back into the game. |
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AlwaysAwesomeAdam |
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Posts: 1940 (03/28/09 9:25 PM) |
We still haven't seen two guys fight for Sydney's affections yet (I don't count her flirting with JT or Joe b/c neither one seemed to care) so
unless that happens next Episode I think she's safe. Why point a story arc out like that if it doesn't come true. Plus the recap focused on her more
than Joe as if it was trying to establish a "character" for her - starting fire, building the hut, comments about just being a hot girl from Stephen.
Joe only had the bonding moment w/ JT over baseball.
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Mypoody2 |
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Posts: 9019 (03/28/09 9:55 PM) Registered User |
My predictions: Sydney next, Joe at merge.
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sunflower101 |
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Posts: 4357 (03/28/09 10:12 PM) |
GrenadeJumper85 wrote:I am thinking now that Taj/JT/Stephen all make it late into the game. To be fair, it can't be ruled at that JT could win immunity at some point and Stephen then gets voted out in his place. Stephen could also get blindsided if people think he is becoming a power player and calling the shots. This doesn't seem likely to me though. JT/Stephen's alliance was highlighted in the first episode. So it is going to be important late into the game. Sandy said in one of her exit interviews that JT/Stephen were the ones to watch. Not sure I trust the spoiler about Taj being the last juror, but if it were a final 2 and JT/Stephen stuck together Taj probably would be pissed (they both vote her out in third place). For anyone that has watched big brother, the guys stuck together in the end. I am not saying that is bad, but that is how it went the last 2 seasons of Big Brother. The bromance stayed true to the end. I think the exile alliance does stick together for several votes, but it is looking more and more like at one point Brendan is a victim of a blindside. It makes sense that he could be blindsided by Taj/Stephen wanting to keep JT around. This doesn't mean that I think Stephen/JT are the final 2, but it certainly seems possible. Even if Brendan is blindsided it is still possible that Sierra/Erinn make the final 2/3, especially if Brendan is blindsided pretty late in the game. |
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