The only Reds with a chance are Taj and Stephen, both mentioned in the exile alliance.
Coach was strongly OTTN, with Tyson leaning that way. I've eliminated Coach, and Tyson reminds me of Corinne. The serious contenders are Erinn, Sierra, and Brandon.
It was a good episode for Erinn. Painted as in trouble at the beginning though guilt by association. Coach had a vendatta against her all episode. But his negativity wasn't supported by others. Who can blame Erinn for trying to distance herself from Candace, or smiling at the idea that Jerry's condition might save her from being booted?
She was edited as RIGHT about solving the puzzle (she told her story at TC which fit with challenge editing and wasn't contradicted). She was edited as RIGHT about Brandon being the better leader (supported by Jerry). Even Tyson's pre-TC confessional was positive for her, in that he basically said "Erinn really wants to stay (good thing), wouldn't it be fun to blindside her and crush her dreams, ha ha." It would make the average viewer root for Erinn going into TC.
That's 3 predictable episodes this season. Editing revealed which tribe would lose the IC in advance, and it was obvious who was staying. Coversely I was shocked by the Jacquie and Ace boots last season.











