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As always happens, the swap/twist usually rescues some players (Gina-S4) and dooms others (Aaron-S15).

New KOTA: Even with the new lineup, Kota is the physically stronger tribe on paper, and it looks that way in practice. The men dominate. Lucky Charlie. The real drama here is who will be the next Onion? Maybe they can have a reality show like "who will be the next pussycat doll?"

BOB: Probst said in his blog that people aren't paying attention to Bob. Well, that may be a clue that Bob goes as far as Paschal or Rudy. However, I don't think it could be said that people weren't paying attention since he was ranked third on old Kota. His risk is always that he could be seen as the weakest member of the tribe and just booted. However, I expect an old Fang would go before that happens. Probst seems to imply that Bob outwits someone later.

Dumbest move: What blew me away was the fact that Bob was picked so late in the process. Somebody is gonna pay for that one. Trust me, had you been standing in my shoes you would have been just as shocked. Bob is a worker and a competitor. To leave him up there that long tells me these guys are vulnerable for a smart player to wreak havoc on this game. That was a mistake. They're under estimating him and that means they're not paying attention.

CHARLIE: Charlie is lucky. He doesn't just get to hero worship Marcus. He has his core alliance partner on the same tribe. He's safe.

CORRINE: Well, she was only ranked sixth, but she's still a good schemer and plotter. She was actually smart to pick Susie for the tribe over Bob, because she didn't want to be the only woman on the tribe. This is similar to Caryn's one (and only) smart move in S10 where she picked Willard over athletic Jonathon so that she wouldn't be the oldest and first target on the tribe. She's safe for the foreseeable furture, unless then men switch around and have just a men's alliance. Her biggest concern will be who to bring in as the fourth onion.

DAN: Dan is lucky that he is not the weakest old Fang on the tribe. He probably has a pass unless Kota feels they can expel one of the strong threats pre-merge. But I think he's safe at least through the next Kota TC.

MARCUS: Well, he was ranked number 1, but that does put a target on his back. However, Charlie isn't going to vote to take him out. Corrine isn't going to vote to take him out. I don't think Bob will join with Old Fang to do that either. He's certainly safe till the merge.

RANDY: Well, Marcus said that it was up to Randy to prove himself in the challenges, so he did. This means he doesn't go before Susie. The swap worked out well for him. Here's what Corrine had to say on Insider:

"I think Randy's great. I think Randy is the biggest surprise to me so far in the game. He is really witty and funny and I totally love that. He just says what's on his mind, which I respect. He's a worker. He's definitely got skills we don't have whereas fishing and some other things we can really use. I'm very happy to have that."

SUSIE: Sorry, no Sandra here. She is the next one out of NuKota (assuming they have a pre-merge TC). She is doing the right thing by working hard. The cook is often beloved. She should take a clue from MamaKim and become the maternal figure of the tribe. I'm not being sexist here. I'm just seeing a realistic way for her to survive when she is obviously the weakest Kota in challenges. She has to like Mad Dog become emotionally indespensible so that the tribe is willing to boot an athletic person instead of her.

New FANG: Even after the swap, they're still losers. Most performed abominably in the challenge. Why didn't they copy what Ace was doing? Why did they leave themselves without a goalie? I still think they are basically losing most of the ICs before the merge.

Favorite move: Ace ended up on one of the worst tribes ever - Fang. It's perfect. I can't wait to hear him wax on about all the problems on this tribe.

ACE: Well, his athleticism made him indispensable for now. The merge was not helpful to him, but it would have been far worse without Sugar. There is a silver lining for him. On old Kota he seemed to have an overestimation of his standing on the tribe. He has no such illusions now. I just hope for him that he doesn't overthink the idol and outwit himself. His phony, inconsistent accent is growing on me. Watch at the end of the season in the interview, we'll hear him speak in a pure southern drawl or Brooklynese and laugh at how he created a whole new character for the game (which incidentally is how Probst said he would play the game if he were on it.).

G.C.: I think he's the Sarah-S4 of the bunch, someone who is completely clueless about the game and events around him. I don't think he's long in the game. This episode set up how he doesn't want to ration food and how he gives up in challenges. Gone within the next 2 Fang TCs.

KELLY: I think she's smart. Like ShiiAnn, she knows where she stands and flipping is a good idea for her. However, this isn't post-merge. This is pre-merge and her bad attitude and poor challenge performance puts her on thin ice. However, with drama surrounding the immunity idol coming up next, she's probably safe for another TC (unless Sugar writes her name down).

Oh my God, this is so Earth's Eden.

I really hope that doesn't mean she's in for the long haul. But hey, if she finds a way, good on her.

KEN: Well, he's a socially indept dork. Not that there's anything wrong with that. He's book smart, but he's not street smart. He may sort of stumble along for awhile, but if Fang really starts losing, he's the weakest man and would be in jeopardy then. My hunch is he somehow goes pre-jury and joins Michelle on loser tour. That said, JP seems to indicate on his blog that Kenny may do better than I expect:

Best move: Kenny choosing Kelly. Kenny is playing to WIN. He's taking chances. Kelly seemed like a ridiculous choice and Kenny played it as such saying he chose her because "she's hot." Lie. He chose her because he sensed a lost puppy in need of a home and he believed he could use her vote to further his own game.

MATTY: JP says on his blog that Matty is too honest.

Matty is vulnerable. He plays this game too honestly to have much of a shot at winning.

This is probably how he gets screwed in the game. Maybe he pulls an "Alex-S6" and tells someone where they are in the pecking order and he gets booted instead. He either gets booted just before the merge or is a very early juror. He's a nice guy and that is very commendable in life, but as Rob C. would say, "it makes him a really bad survivor player".

"I just hope everyone goes far, the real, genuine, really cool people in this game I think are Charlie, Marcus, Ace, and Sugar, so I hope they go really far. I'll be waiting for when they get kicked off."