Yuku free message boards

Starting with:

SURVIVORFEVER

Fairplay: Short Timer
Mary: Early Boot - Episode 2
Chet: Out Pre-Jury
Kathleen: Out Pre-Merge
Tracy: Out Pre-Merge
Yau-Man: Out Pre-Merge

Cirie: ?
Joel: ?
Jonathan: ?
Mikey B: ?

Eliza: First Juror
Jason: Early-Mid Jury?
Erik: Makes Jury?
Ami: Mid-Game
James: Makes Jury
Ozzy: Mid-Jury

Alexis: Mid-Jury to Late Game?
Amanda: Mid-Jury to Late Game
Parvati: Mid-Jury to Late Game
Natalie: Late Game?

If this is the primary spoiler list we use, using information from others but not in Fever only when it doesn't disagree with Fever

Then here's your Bootlist:

E1 - Jon (Quits)

E2 - Mary

E3 - Tracy/Kathleen (Removed)

E4 - Yau

E5 - Jonathon/Michael (Removed, Injury)

E6 - Chet

Jury Begins at 12

E7 - Eliza

E8 - Cirie

Merge at 10

E9 - Joel

E10 - Erik/Jason (Double Elimination)

E11 - James

E12 - Ozzie

E13 - Ami

Final 4 - Pavrati, Amanda, Natalie, Alexis.

Here's the details:

Episode 1 - The Faves win RC-1 and get fire/useful gear. The Faves have some advantage having played the game before and knowing what to expect. But the LA Recruits rally and win the IC-1. Jon quits, maybe before Day 3.

Episode 2 - The Faves win IC-2. The Recruits have several weak players Mary, Kathleen and Tracy … but decide to rid themselves of a high-maintenance poser in Mary. This kill is led my Michael who spares no punches in calling Mary out.

Episode 3 - I believe this is the disturbing episode where Kathleen's mental issues arise and she is removed from the game by the producers after trying to cut off her fingers with a machete. The Recruits are exhausted mentally and physically and lose the IC … voting off Tracy. Michael again is brutally frank at the TC and targets his judgment and wrath on Tracy.

Episode 4 - The Recruits try to comeback. The first 9 days have bonded the group and the remaining seven come together winning IC-4. The Faves cut Yau loose.

Episode 5 - Michael is injured at the RC and has to be removed from the game. I believe this for several reasons. Even if Michael is a difficult guy socially (which can be read in Probst TC comments about Michael) it's hard to see the Recruits eliminating a strong male this early by choice, while down one, 8-7. But Michael is universally a pre-jury boot.

There was early indications that more than one person was removed from the game. Kathleen was removed due to mental illness. Chet, according to Fever asks to be voted out due to his cut foot injury - which matches early spoils that more than one are injured, one is removed and the other(s) (Chet & Amanda?) struggle to keep playing.

Chet has by now cut his foot badly on coral. The Recruits are really struggling with the physical side of the game - shelter, water and food. Joel steps up his leadership and tries to rally the Recruits again. They manage to win the IC. This is the most difficult pre-merge episode to figure out. I'm assuming the Faves boot the second favorite here to give Chet as much time as I can to lose weight before being eliminated pre-merge, E6.

The various spoil lists (Fever, TDT, Danieubleu and 4Kingdoms) do not agree. I favor Fever over all others as the most reliable and conservative. But this means that either E5 or E6 we have to kill off Jonathan or Cirie, as Fever has Pavrati making the merge. Killing Cirie or Jonathon pre-merge also matches Coby's spoil that more than one popular Fave goes early (in addition to Yau). I don't think Coby would consider Pavrati as a favorite. As much as I know this will upset people the greater evidence if you give preference to Fever is , pardon the heresy … Jonathon, especially given that Eliza, his ally, is the 1^st Juror.

Episode 6 - This is the Chet elimination by request at TC.

In order to create a bootlist from the spoils at this point we need to decide one of three options for game design:

Option 1 - The Jury starts at 12 but the tribes are not merged (meaning we move to Individual Immunity, not when all players are at a single camp) until 10.

Option 2 - The Jury starts at 12 with a merge at 12.

Option 3 - The Jury and Merge are both at 10.

ALL BOOTLIST MUST ADDRESS THIS ISSUE IN ORDER TO FIT SPOILER INFO INTO A BOOTLIST!

If you accept Fever, that Eliza is the 1^st juror, then, Occam would prefer Option 1.

Episode 7 - Cirie goes and becomes the second Juror. The recruits have rallied behind Joel in the late pre-merge.

Episode 8 - Recap show

Episode 9 - Merge at 10. The Recruits are Natalie, Alexis, Joel, Jason and Eric and the Faves are Ami, Ozzie, Amanda, Pavrati, James. Fever's spoil list suggests the next boots are a pagonging of the Recruit males Joel, Erik and Jason. This is a great time for the fake HII to get played, if this does as rumored occur. If the families show up E11, we only need two Recruits to go ahead of Alexis/Natalie, and that would be Jason and Joel. Take your pick regarding order here but assuming the biggest II threat goes first, then lets off Joel first.

Episode 10 - Either Thing 1, Jason or Thing 2, Erik. I think we a slight edge in spoilers toward Erik before Jason. But we actually a double elimination episode in S16 to get 14 episodes with the S14 beginning with 4 alive. Placing the double here might be a game design to either shake up a pagonging by not giving people time to coordinate targeting or get it over with so we can get to 2 minority tribe members left and hope for a majority split E11. So both Jason and Erik, aka Things 1 an d 2 go the same episode - how poetic.

Episode 11 - Starts with 8 - Family Visit (China was at 6 left, E11, but since we're speculating E14 begins with 5 not 4 like China, and you don't want the family episode too late, E11 works well at 8 left). Alexis and Natalie make it at least to this TC. It looks like at this point the women take over and kill the remaining men. Its either James or Ozzie, since Ozzie's socially more vulnerable I'll go with him first.

E12- Starts with 6 - Lets kill off who's ever left between Ozzie and James here.