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05/17/17 08:53 PM
MESS with me,
05/18/17 07:41 AM
05/18/17 10:47 AM
05/18/17 11:10 AM
05/18/17 12:42 PM
05/18/17 03:04 PM
05/19/17 09:28 AM
05/19/17 10:46 AM
That was a good analysis Kay. I would add though that I don't see Brad as having a good social game. Yes, he has bonded with Sierra and Troy but I haven't seen him really having any "moments" either in a group or on a one-on-one basis to show that he has developed warm fuzzies with anyone else.
On the other hand, his biggest emotion was his angry outburst at winning IC last week. We have seen others in a similar situation who have won the IC and their response was emotional but I felt that Brad's emotion was OTT. I believe, that Brad's anger and subsequent ranting about "being voted out" and "take that" attitude is an ugly reaction to a win which the remaining Survivors noted. I also think it shows that Brad realizes that he is personally not liked in the tribe and it goes beyond the fact that he is competing for 1million like everyone else. Perhaps someone else can explain it better, but that scene more than anything else shows me why Brad does not win Survivor.
05/19/17 12:19 PM
05/19/17 12:41 PM
Oowatanite wrote:IF Brad does not win, the major/only reason will be his wealth, and Sarah's lack thereof ...
05/19/17 01:00 PM
05/19/17 01:46 PM
05/19/17 03:30 PM
05/19/17 07:14 PM
05/19/17 08:03 PM
05/19/17 09:52 PM
05/20/17 03:51 PM
05/22/17 08:08 AM
Kayviidjii wrote:Pre-finale, the cat can finally be released from the bag. This has been Sarah's to lose since way back as far as arc's go.
The only thing hindering her and what they really needed to do to make the finale exciting is make her seem like she could lose a jury vote due to having played a cut-throat game that a bitter jury won't award the million with. They did just that by having Cirie elaborate on her wanting to move forward with Sarah because she believes Sarah won't get votes from the people she betrayed.
As far as gameplay, this has been Sarah's game. We've heard her thought process throughout, something Brad is lacking. Cirie has had that to an extent but her bigger arc I feel has always been about continuously changing as a person and inspiring people "like her" to accomplish anything. She has referenced winning, and had a strong episode up until Sarah completely played her with the advantage. It's not going to be enough.
In all the time I've been doing this, Sarah losing would be the most shocking moment for me yet. It seems that obvious based on the story we've been told. The doubt they are casting for her in the form of a lacking social game with the jury is not enough compared to the faults I see in her main adversaries of Brad and Cirie.
As far as other arcs go heading in to the finale, none of Aubry, Tai or Troy really have fleshed-out arcs like Sarah, Brad and Cirie do. Someone with a definable arc can still go out at F6 like Jay last season. Hence Cirie could be the F6 boot. The F5 boot could be an inconsequential boot like Aubry/Tai. Traditionally the final juror has usually been someone with a very defined arc and someone who might serve as a distraction for the eventual winner. I feel like Cirie should be the final juror but if she's not then I'd have to just say it's Tai by process of elimination. His arc looks to be picking up per the preview where he has tough choices (he said last night he plays by kindness and emotions) which may end with him falling just short of F3 due to him not playing strategic over socially/with his heart (he wouldn't win anyway even if he got to the F3).
Usually with a F3 one is always the quiet one with a very non-existent story post-merge due to them being the 0 vote receiver. No surprise that's Troy. If the doubt isn't built with the last juror for the eventual winner then it would be interchangeable with the second place finisher. Brad could have upside through personal relationships though that really hasn't been emphasized enough as of late compared to Sarah's strongest strategic game.
If they were trying to push the narrative in the penultimate episode that it's either social game or strategic game that wins this, were they pitting Brad/Cirie against Sarah? I feel that Sarah is clearly the strategic narration tool here but Cirie has played both a great social and strategic game-> If only one is to be the theme of FTC, then she's out. I guess Brad could be the narration for the social game though his bonds have clearly not been shown to a great degree post-merge. If he's the underdog-character that makes the finale he could be the dark horse, but even that characteristic has somewhat been missing from his arc even though they have sort of been trying.
This was a bunch of very random thoughts, most of which I feel are accurate, but maybe not presented in the most eloquent way, so hope you bare with these thoughts. If not, tl;dr and Sarah wins.
We've heard her thought process throughout, something Brad is lacking
I don't believe that at all, They
heavily edit the episodes, they show what THEY want you to believe & think.. Jeff has said the TC go on for 2-3 hours , we see at most 8 minutes,
05/22/17 10:00 AM
05/22/17 11:22 AM
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