I looked to see if there was a thread for this, but I couldn't find one.
Unless there is another twist and somebody else comes back, we are left with the Jury and the final two. We are far enough along in the games to make some predictions about how the remaining HG's will do.
Matt - He's as good as gone, almost cetainly the first member of the jury, but even if he somehow manages to survive I doubt if he'll last long, He's too strong and too stupid. A bad combination. Nobody except Natalie really likes him, and everybody's scared of his ability to win veto contests.
Natalie - This year's cowboy. Dim as can be, and nobody takes her seriously. She just might make it to the final two for those reasons; she is probably everybody's dream to be sitting next to at the end. Her only real problem is that while Matt is around she is in danger of being collateral damage. She is better off with Matt gone. Her second danger is that she is an easy target, if an HOH doesn't want to piss anybody off they would nominate her. I think that she'd probably lose to anybody in the end, except possible Sheila.
Sheila - She is making herself into the perfect goat. Everybody hates her and nobody respects her. Just for that reason she might be dragged into the final two, but she couldn't win against anybody except possibly Natalie. She is playing a better game than Natalie, but I don't think it is a game that can win first place, only second.
Adam - He's playing a very good floater game, he is on nobody's radar, and everybody likes him without his being anybody's BFF. His secret alliance with James could help him. He could go far, and possibly win. His only real danger is James' rather erratic behavior could give his secret alliance away and make him a target.
James - James is intelligent but too emotional. He knows what he should do, but he doesn't do it. He knows that Sheila is the most dangerous person, but he targets Matt instead. He game is erratic because his mind and his heart are telling him different things. If he went with what his brain tells him then he'd be O.K., but he goes with his emotions instead. I think he is O.K. for a while, but I don't think he'll make it to the end, he's too good of a player not to be targeted, but not good enough to wiggle his way out.
Chelsea - She's got good game and could go far, but she needs to step up. At this point if the anti-4 win the next HOH, then James and Chelsea will be nominated, Adam will protect James, and Chelsea will go home. In the unlikely event that Adam accidentally wins HOH, then Josh and Chelsea go on the block, Ryan will protect Josh, and Chelsea (or possibly Sharon) goes home.
Sharon is doing O.K., I don't think she is anybody's prime target now that Natalie has bigger fish to fry, (anyway I don't think Nat wants Sharon to be alone with her Matty in the sequester house). Sharon could be collateral damage if she is put up as a pawn and the person she is put up against flips things.
Josh - he's doing great. He's playing a great game, his only weakness is his temper, if he pisses someone off at the wrong time he could be gone. But it seems to me that he never goes off until after veto ceremony is over and there is no chance of his being on the block. If my memory serves me, his Amanda and Natalie rants were after the veto ceremonies, and he Alison rant was when he was safely HOH. If he makes it to the final two (In my opinion that is a real possibility) he will win if the jury votes according to game playing, but will lose if they vote according to personality (unless he's against Sheila, then he win either way).
Ryan - he's doing better than I though he was going to do. I was impressed with his reaching out and making a secret alliance with Josh. Ryan chose the best person for himslf to be secretly allied with. I was impressed that he wasn't bitter about the fact that Josh had tried to get him evicted. He knows that Josh know the game, and can manipulate people so that if he is allied with Josh he has a better chance of making it to the end, and he also knows if he in a final two with Josh he has a good chance of winning. The anti-4 would probably vote for him instead of Josh, and if Josh's temper alienates members of his own alliance then Ryan might also get their votes.
