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The tribe that sucks:

DAVE: I understand that if he hadn't turned into the bossy leader, these idiots would not be able to get their crap together and they would starve to death. I realize this. However, Ashley actually had him assessed pretty well. He's an arrogant, condescending blowhard in a tribe of dumb young people that are going to value social bonds over any useful skills. While voting Ashley out first was smarter (because, you know, he is actually strong and useful) he's still not for long. He will probably be going to Loser Lodge and will be subjected to a gloating Ashley very soon unless he's saved by a switcheroo of some kind, because while he has some great skills, he's not on the tribe where that's going to be appreciated.

JAIME: Watch closely. While Dave is the "leader" (read: human sacrifice), Jaime is the one that seems to be running the show on this tribe. She's the one driving the strategy. She's the one that's helping decide the vote. She's the one sitting quietly and listening to the other tribe fight. She's the link, I think, between Sherea and the two young guys that don't talk. She's the one who instigating Ashley into airing the group's grievances with Dave. She's the one to watch, I think.

PEIH-GEE: I can't help but think that she'd have been better off if she'd been placed on the other tribe, personality-wise, although I must admit, she's off the radar for now.

SHEREA: I don't see her as a major player. She's more vocal than Erik and Frosti, but I don't see any game.

FROSTI: All we know about him is that he has some athletic ability.

ERIK: Who?

The tribe that mostly doesn't suck:

JEAN-ROBERT: Although I think that his reverse psychology ploy is interesting, the fact of the matter is that he most likely would not be lasting long in this game if not for the fact that the other tribe appears to be in a tailspin. Not as good of a player as he thinks he is.

LESLIE: Jaime (who seems reasonably perceptive) seemed to view her as the weak link in the tribe, and she's been sick, and she seems to not have any real alliances (aside from Todd, who has other plans). This does not bode well for her. I was pleasantly surprised that her first choice for an alliance was the gay Mormon, which was... not what I would have expected from Church Lady.

JAMES: He's big and strong. He should be cautious if there's a switch, and he's going to need to do well post-merge to last long.

COURTNEY: Well, she's entertaining, I'll give her that.

TODD: I like his alliance... himself, a loyal partner, and a human shield he can duck behind. This combo (with a succession of assorted shields) worked very well for Vecepia. Smart guy. Given that the other tribe is imploding and I've seen no indication of tight alliances on his tribe, if he plays his cards right he's in an excellent position.

AMANDA: She's made a good alliance to start with, and she appears to have a brain.

AARON: He's put himself out there as a leader, and clearly Todd and Amanda are willing to let him be the target over him. It could pay off well if it helps him to the end, but it might backfire as well.

DENISE: She's clearly tough, but I have no clue where she stands on the tribe in terms of alliances or bonds with her tribemates.